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On 8 November 2023, Sotheby’s New York sold Pablo Picasso’s Femme à la montre – a 1932 oil-on-canvas portrait of his mistress Marie-Thérèse Walter – for $139.4 million including fees. The result, achieved after a three-way telephone bidding contest that opened at $95 million and hammered at $121 million, made the painting the second-most expensive Picasso ever auctioned. Only Les Femmes d’Alger (Version ‘O’), which fetched $179.4 million at Christie’s in 2015, has commanded a higher price.

The work measured 51¼ by 38 inches and depicted Walter seated upright in a throne-like armchair against a vivid blue background, a yellow wristwatch strapped to her left wrist. Picasso painted it on 17 August 1932 at Boisgeloup, his château studio outside Paris, during what scholars designate his annus mirabilis – a year in which he produced some of his most celebrated canvases. Walter, then 27, had been the artist’s secret lover since 1927, when he approached her outside a Paris Métro station aged 45 and still married to the Russian-Ukrainian ballerina Olga Khokhlova. The watch motif appeared in only three major Picasso works; Sotheby’s described it as an intimate honour, a token the artist bestowed selectively on those closest to him.

Emily Fisher Landau, the American philanthropist and Whitney Museum trustee who died in March 2023 aged 102, had acquired the painting from Pace Gallery in November 1968 for an undisclosed sum. For fifty-five years it hung above the mantelpiece in her Manhattan apartment at 720 Park Avenue, and later appeared at her Fisher Landau Center for Art in Long Island City, Queens. Andy Warhol, who visited the apartment in the early 1980s, reportedly fussed over his own portrait of Landau after seeing the Picasso on the wall, deciding his first attempt was not strong enough to share space with it.

The sale formed the centrepiece of a two-day auction of approximately 120 works from Landau’s collection, which Sotheby’s estimated would generate $400 million. The evening eventually totalled $406.4 million – the most valuable collection from a single female collector ever sold at auction. Sotheby’s secured every lot with an in-house guarantee, and 25 of the 31 works in the Wednesday evening session carried third-party irrevocable bids. Brooke Lampley, the house’s global head of fine art, won the Picasso with paddle number 36, representing an anonymous telephone bidder.

Three other paintings of Walter from the same year had recently fetched nine-figure sums. Nude, Green Leaves and Bust, executed the previous day in 1932, sold for $106.5 million at Christie’s in May 2010. Femme assise près d’une fenêtre (Marie-Thérèse) achieved $103.4 million at Christie’s New York in May 2021. And Femme nue couchée reached $67.5 million at Sotheby’s in 2022. Walter’s face, with its rounded forms and luminous palette, became the primary vehicle through which Picasso explored the boundaries between portraiture and abstraction during the early 1930s.

The market dynamics behind these figures reflect a concentrated appetite among ultra-high-net-worth collectors for works with three characteristics: a clear subject connected to Picasso’s personal mythology, documented provenance tracing ownership back decades, and a date falling within the artist’s most critically celebrated period. Femme à la montre satisfied all three. Its 1932 provenance placed it alongside the Tate Modern’s Nude, Green Leaves and Bust and the 2018 Tate exhibition Picasso 1932: Love, Fame, Tragedy, which devoted an entire show to the year’s output.

Picasso’s auction dominance is structural, not anecdotal. In 2020, his works generated approximately $245 million across 3,400 lots – more than any other artist at auction worldwide. The $179.4 million record for Les Femmes d’Alger was set in 2015, when it became the most expensive painting ever sold at auction, a record it held until Leonardo da Vinci’s Salvator Mundi reached $450.3 million two years later. Femme à la montre now sits between these benchmarks, confirming that Picasso’s market ceiling continues to expand with each fresh-to-market masterpiece.

The painting’s subject – and the ethics of its origin – has attracted renewed scrutiny. Walter was 17 when she met Picasso; their secret relationship began while he was still married to Khokhlova and did not become public until 1937. Picasso’s behaviour towards women, including documented cruelty towards both Walter and his later partner, the photographer Dora Maar, has been the subject of several recent exhibitions and critical reassessments. Tate Modern’s 2023 retrospective and a 2019 show at the same institution both addressed these questions directly. Neither has damped market demand: a portrait of Maar, Buste de femme au chapeau à fleurs, sold for €32 million at Hôtel Drouot in October 2025, four times its estimate.

Walter bore Picasso a daughter, Maya Widmaier-Picasso, in 1935. She appeared in more than sixty of his paintings, sculptures, and drawings between 1927 and 1937. Her features – the long neck, the golden hair, the soft oval face – became synonymous with his most lyrical Cubist idiom. Picasso himself said of her: “She was my golden muse.” That phrase, borrowed by Sotheby’s catalogue to frame the lot, has entered common usage as shorthand for the phenomenon of an artist’s obsession translating into market premium.

For collectors and auction houses, the Picasso mistress portrait represents a finite category. The supply of major Walter paintings entering the market will not increase; most reside in museum collections or are held by long-standing private owners. That scarcity, combined with the paintings’ critical standing and their role in one of art history’s most documented love affairs, ensures they will continue to set benchmarks at auction for decades.